Shorten paragraphs12/6/2023 ![]() Janus Henderson Group plc through its subsidiaries may manage investment products with a financial interest in securities mentioned herein and any comments should not be construed as a reflection on the past or future profitability. It is not intended to indicate or imply that any illustration/example mentioned is now or was ever held in any portfolio. Opinions and examples are meant as an illustration of broader themes, are not an indication of trading intent and may not reflect the views of others in the organization. They are for information purposes only and should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector. The opinions and views expressed are as of the date published and are subject to change. It’s possible somebody has already written it but didn’t realize what they had created and naively turned it off. It may take one or several brilliant insights, but one ultimate AGI prompt may be as short as a few paragraphs. As a further bonus, ChatGPT can even help you along the way! In fact, there are probably many such prompts, and unlike conventional programming, a few errant words or syllables won’t matter. It’s just a matter of mumbling more or less the right words. There must exist a prompt, written in regular English, or even Japanese or Welsh or emojis, that would lead ChatGPT to become sentient, conscious, moral, awake, alive, able to generate new explanatory knowledge, and, in all respects, a person. And with conventional programming languages, even a stray semicolon or a slight typo, let alone a logical error, can render the entire program useless.īut now it’s just a matter of stringing the right syllables together, in more or less the right order. ![]() How would you model memory? Creativity? Intuition? How would you store what an “explanation” is and figure out how to have it generate new conjectures and criticize existing explanations? What storage units would they occupy? It’d be hard to even know where to start. You need to think about structure and logical flow. Imagining how to write an AGI software program can seem daunting. But now we know that we are “just one prompt” away. We have always been “just one program” away from AGI. Therefore, if a program for AGI can be written in any single computer language, it can also be written and executed through ChatGPT. In technical terms, this means ChatGPT is Turing complete, named for Alan Turing, the father of modern computer science. This means that anything that can be computed by any piece of hardware can be computed by ChatGPT. ![]() Today, ChatGPT can generate code from text prompts and it can run the generated code too. The combination of those insights, and the experience of interacting with the new AI tools, leads logically to one inevitable conclusion: AGI is a prompt away. ![]() And third, AGI are people by definition, because if they lacked any cognitive ability of humans, they would not be considered AGI in the first place. Second, it is a software program, an algorithm that could run on any hardware. First, he notes that AGI must be possible, as a matter of physics and the universality of computation. Physicist and philosopher David Deutsch, and the father of quantum computation, makes (at least) three important points about AGI. Of course, it’s possible everyone is wrong, and nothing about current AI will lead to AGI. the Guardian Philosophy will be the key that unlocks artificial intelligence | David Deutsch Hinton raises another possibility: they will be so good at persuasion, they’ll be able to convince us to do anything. This is what is meant by “the alignment problem.” Unaligned AGI’s may enslave us or kill us, perhaps even thinking it is for our own good. Indeed, one of the main hypothetical existential threats of AI involve scenarios like Skynet or the Matrix where robots gain sentience and do not share the same values as us biological humans. Many more are at least worried about the possibility. Geoff Hinton, one of the “godfathers of deep learning,” proclaimed on “60 Minutes” last week that he is certain we will have AGI soon, and biological humans will be relegated to be the second-smartest species on the planet. Cbsnews "Godfather of Artificial Intelligence" Geoffrey Hinton on the promise, risks of advanced AI OpenAI CEO Sam Altman put it well on a podcast with Lex Fridman following the release of GPT-4 when he said that he didn’t think GPT-4 was an AGI, but that it’s remarkable that the question is legitimately debatable now. Lex Fridman #367 - Sam Altman: OpenAI CEO on GPT-4, ChatGPT, and the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast But in calm reflection, virtually no one believes AGI is already here, although they tend to acknowledge it is far more believable than before.
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